ROLLING 1M · 30 APR 2026
Monthly executive brief

BTC +13.5% over period · $75.8K close

Bitcoin$75.8K+13.5% over period
Spot BTC ETF flows+$2.19B22 sessions · IBIT +$2.10B
Ethereum$2.25K+11.2% over period · ETF +$0.42B
$64K$68K$73K$78K$82K$0.00B+$2.68BCumul. ETF: +$2.19B$75.8KBTC ETFS FLIP +$1.3BHK STABLECOIN LICENSESSTRATEGY $2.54B BTC BUYBESO ETF LAUNCHESDRIFT HACK $285MTARIFF SHOCKKELP DAO $292M HACKBTC FAILS $80K TWICEFOMC HOLDS · 8-4 DISSENTMAR 30APR 6APR 14APR 22APR 29
BTC / USD (LEFT)CUMUL. BTC ETF FLOWS $B (RIGHT)FLOWRISKMACROREGTRADFI
Ethereum$2.25K+11.2% over periodCUMUL. ETH ETF · +$0.42B
$1.95$2.22$2.49$-0.04B$0.00B+$0.63B$2.25KMAR 30APR 29
Themes at a glance
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Month timeline
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Watching next
FORWARD CALENDAR · 7 ITEMS
For informational purposes only. Does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
CRYPTO RISK · ROLLING 30D · 30 APR 2026
Crypto ecosystem risk

Cross-venue perp landscape

A monthly snapshot of perpetual open interest, 30-day flow and stablecoin supply across Binance, Bybit and OKX — where leverage is concentrated and how it's moving.

Total perp OI$33.2B+10.9% 1M · -14.6% 3M · +9.0% 12M
BTC+ETH share of OI64%-0.2pp 1M · -2.2pp 3M · +7.0pp 12M
30D perp volume$2058BBTC $663B · -10.0% 1M · -14.6% 3M · -35.7% 12M
Biggest 30d gainerDOGE+$0.27B · +74%
Biggest 30d loserWLFI-0.05B · -35%
Total ecosystem leverage · 30d
STACKED BY ASSET · 3 VENUES
BTC $13.3BETH $7.9BAlts $12.0BTotal $33.2B$0B$14B$27B$41BAPR 01APR 30
Top alts · current OI · split by venue
CLICK ROW FOR 12M PRICE + OI →
BinanceBybitOKXSOL$1.57BXRP$0.67BDOGE$0.63BBNB$0.47BHYPE$0.45BBCH$0.26BZEC$0.24BADA$0.17BSUI$0.17BTRX$0.17BLINK$0.16BXAUT$0.15BAVAX$0.15B1000PEPE$0.14BPAXG$0.14B
Top alts · 30d cumulative volume · split by venue
SUM ACROSS VENUES
BinanceBybitOKXSOL$95.16BRAVE$66.70BDOGE$36.45BXRP$31.15BZEC$24.26BHYPE$16.87B1000PEPE$12.75BTAO$11.90BBNB$10.86BSTO$10.64BSIREN$10.47BCHIP$10.28BORDI$10.00BBASED$9.08BADA$9.07B
30d OI movers · gainers vs losers
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Implied volatility · BTC & ETH
DUAL-AXIS · 30D
BTC IV (LEFT)51.5% → 38.9%ETH IV (RIGHT)72.0% → 56.0%37%42%48%53%54%61%67%74%APR 01APR 30
Stablecoin supply · point-in-time
TODAY · 1M · 3M · 12M
TODAY 1M AGO 3M AGO 12M AGO
USDT $189B $184B +3.0% $186B +2.1% $149B +27.2%
USDC $77B $77B -0.0% $70B +10.1% $62B +24.7%
Total $267B $261B +2.1% $256B +4.3% $211B +26.5%
For informational purposes only. Does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Eltican · Crypto Risk Rolling 30D — Apr 2026
4 · 26 — APRIL 2026 · MTD · 30 APR 2026
April 2026 — financial conditions loose

Risk appetite 55/100 — S&P +10.4% MTD, vol regime compressed.

Cross-asset snapshot rebased to month-start: equities, rates, FX, commodities and crypto on one page, with implied-vol surfaces, a UST curve overlay, and a 1M-vs-prior-11M momentum scatter. Click any heatmap cell or scatter dot for a price chart.

Financial Conditions
74 / 100
LOOSE · +15.8 vs 1M
P26 vs 5y · NFCI -0.52 · 24 APR · Chicago Fed
Risk Appetite
55 / 100
MIXED
z +0.38 · VIX · Cu/Au · SPY/TLT · HY/LQD · 30 APR
S&P 500
7,209
+10.4% MTD
VIX
16.89
-33.1% MTD
US 10Y yield
4.39%
+8 bps
DXY
98.08
-1.9% MTD
Cross-asset heatmap · MTD / 3M / YTD / 12M
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InstrumentMTD3MYTD12MLAST
Equities· 5+12.1%+5.8%+9.8%+39.5%5 items
S&P 500+10.4%+3.9%+5.3%+29.4%7,209
Nasdaq+15.3%+6.1%+7.1%+42.7%24,892
EuroStoxx 50+5.6%-1.1%+1.5%+14.0%5,882
Nikkei 225+16.5%+11.6%+18.2%+65.1%59,513
MSCI EM (EEM)+12.7%+8.3%+17.0%+46.2%63.99
Rates· 5mixedmixedmixedmixed5 items
US 3M yield-1bp+1bp+4bp-61bp3.59%
US 5Y yield+8bp+23bp+30bp+27bp4.02%
US 10Y yield+8bp+15bp+23bp+21bp4.39%
US 30Y yield+10bp+11bp+15bp+31bp4.99%
Long UST (TLT)-1.2%-1.7%-1.8%-4.3%85.62
Credit· 2+0.5%-1.2%-0.8%+1.5%2 items
High Yield (HYG)+1.0%-0.9%-0.3%+2.3%80.38
Inv. Grade (LQD)-0.1%-1.6%-1.2%+0.8%108.8
FX· 4+0.3%+0.0%+0.3%+3.5%4 items
DXY-1.9%+1.1%-0.2%-1.4%98.08
EUR/USD+1.3%-2.0%-0.2%+3.6%1.17
USD/JPY-1.0%+2.5%+0.4%+9.8%157.0
GBP/USD+2.7%-1.5%+1.0%+2.1%1.36
Commodities· 8+0.3%+11.0%+22.8%+58.4%8 items
WTI Crude+3.6%+61.1%+83.0%+80.5%105.1
Brent Crude-3.7%+61.3%+87.4%+80.6%114.0
Nat Gas-4.1%-36.4%-24.9%-16.8%2.77
Gold-0.7%-2.1%+6.7%+39.6%4,615
Silver-1.5%-6.1%+4.8%+126.0%73.53
Platinum+1.5%-5.9%-2.7%+105.3%1,979
Copper+6.1%+0.5%+5.3%+30.0%5.93
Wheat+1.2%+15.9%+23.0%+21.6%623.8
Vol· 5-25.7%+2.0%+39.5%-5.5%5 items
VIX-33.1%-3.2%+13.0%-31.6%16.89
VXN-22.8%-3.2%+11.4%-21.6%21.79
MOVE-25.0%+21.7%+12.7%-35.9%72.07
OVX-16.0%+34.3%+148.9%+37.9%75.08
GVZ-31.5%-39.6%+11.4%+23.8%26.64
Crypto· 2+11.8%-11.1%-16.7%+5.5%2 items
Bitcoin+14.6%-7.1%-10.7%-17.0%78,179
Ethereum+9.0%-15.1%-22.6%+27.9%2,295
Cross-asset implied volatility · MTD rebased to 100
VIX · VXN · MOVE · OVX · GVZ · DVOL
10069108 APR 01APR 30
VIX (S&P 500)
24.5 → 16.9 -31.2%
VXN (Nasdaq)
27.6 → 21.8 -20.9%
MOVE (UST rates)
90.2 → 72.1 -20.1%
OVX (WTI crude)
91.8 → 75.1 -18.2%
GVZ (gold)
36.1 → 26.6 -26.2%
DVOL BTC
51.5 → 38.9 -24.5%
DVOL ETH
72.0 → 56.0 -22.2%
UST yield curve · today vs 1M / 3M / 12M ago
% YIELD
3.37%3.98%4.58%5.19% 3.59%4.02%4.39%4.99% Today1M3M12M 3M5Y10Y30Y
Momentum scatter · 1M return vs prior-11M z-score
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-2-1123-112 trend continuationreversal uppersistent weaknessreversal down S&P 500NasdaqEuroStoxx 50Nikkei 225MSCI EM (EEM)Long UST (TLT)High Yield (HYG)Inv. Grade (LQD)DXYEUR/USDUSD/JPYGBP/USDWTI CrudeBrent CrudeNat GasGoldSilverPlatinumCopperWheatBitcoinEthereum LAST 1M · Z-SCORE OF LOG RETURN →PRIOR 11M · Z-SCORE → EquitiesRatesCreditFXCommoditiesCryptoclick to filter · again to reset
Cross-asset spreads & ratios · MTD / 3M / YTD / 12M
CLICK ANY GROUP TO EXPAND · CLICK ANY CELL FOR HISTORY →
InstrumentMTD3MYTD12MLAST
Rates & curve· 3mixedmixedmixedmixed3 items
10Y - 3MYield curve slope · Fed's preferred recession indicator+9bp+14bp+19bp+82bp0.80%
30Y - 5YLong-end steepness · long-duration term premium+2bp-11bp-15bp+4bp0.96%
MOVE / VIX>6 = rate stress dominates, <4 = equity stress dominates+12.2%+25.7%-0.3%-6.3%4.27
Credit· 1+1.2%+0.7%+0.9%+1.4%1 items
HYG / LQDHY vs IG total return · credit risk preference+1.2%+0.7%+0.9%+1.4%0.74
Risk appetite· 3+1.7%-0.4%-2.3%+23.5%3 items
Copper / GoldPro-growth vs flight-to-safety · tracks 10Y yields+6.8%+2.7%-1.3%-6.9%0.00
AUDJPYCarry-trade FX pair · classic RORO indicator+3.0%+4.7%+7.9%+23.3%113.0
ETH / BTCIntra-crypto risk-on signal-4.8%-8.6%-13.4%+54.2%0.03
Equity factor· 3+5.8%+5.7%+9.5%+29.7%3 items
SPHB / SPLVHigh-beta vs low-vol US equity · risk preference+13.9%+9.8%+10.3%+66.2%1.81
IWM / SPYSmall caps vs large caps · domestic risk-on+1.4%+3.1%+7.1%+10.1%0.39
EEM / SPYEM equity vs US · global risk-on+2.0%+4.3%+11.0%+12.8%0.09
Vol regime· 2+7.2%+16.6%+63.1%+42.7%2 items
VIX9D / VIX>1 = backwardation/stress, <1 = contango/calm-11.2%-5.4%+6.0%-16.2%0.85
OVX / VIXOil vol vs equity vol · geopolitics tell+25.6%+38.7%+120.3%+101.6%4.45
Energy· 1-47.3%+63.1%+160.6%+82.1%1 items
Brent - WTIRegional supply imbalance · geopolitics premium-47.3%+63.1%+160.6%+82.1%8.94
FX & dollar· 1-1.2%+3.3%-6.5%-29.4%1 items
DXY / GoldReal-rate proxy · USD strong + Gold weak = high real rates-1.2%+3.3%-6.5%-29.4%0.02
For informational purposes only. Does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Eltican · Macro Dashboard 4 · 2026 — April